The Conservatives may go down in history as the biggest liars ever to take power. To destroy the UKIP vote, they offered a referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU. They won a majority. They produced a brochure, delivered to every UK household at a cost of £9 million, extolling the dangers of a no deal Brexit (out of the Single Market and Customs Union). Leave won the referendum and they agreed to honour the “once in a lifetime” result. Cameron, however stood down rather than follow through with his promise.

Theresa May was literally given the Leadership. She was, and is, and always will be, a remainer. She packed her Government with remainers and went to the country on a written manifesto pledge that “no deal is better than a bad deal”. The electorate voted for the Conservatives on the understanding that they would get us out of the EU. Although Theresa May lost the majority, she did trigger article 50 and won a majority for legislation that set the “exit day” as 29th March 2019. She stated “no deal is better than a bad deal” over one hundred times in the House of Commons then negotiated the worst deal in history with the EU. Her deal was voted down by the largest majority in UK parliamentary history. It was, is, and always will be, a very bad deal. Yet she pressed on and refused to leave with no deal on 29th March 2019, grovelling to the EU for not one, but two membership extensions (how much has the UK paid for this?). The UK electorate realised that they had been lied to again and again and again. The formation of The Brexit Party led many, many Conservative voters, members, and activists to desert the party forever.

We are now at the point where 31st October 2019, the new “exit day” is becoming very important to the survival of this once great political party which has been brought to its knees by a very large number of liberal remainers within its ranks. Party donations have dried up and large donors are now in talks with The Brexit Party and the Conservatives to come to an arrangement which may flush out the liberal remainer wing of the Conservative Party once and for all. The idea being that The Brexit Party will only field candidates against the liberal remainers and the Conservatives will not field candidates, whenever possible, in seats that have a large leave majority. The resulting coalition will win against Corbyn and the UK will leave the EU, with or without a deal.

The Conservative Parliamentary Party is dominated by remainers, but the grass roots favour leaving, even with no deal, if that is all that is open to them. If the Labour Party come out as favouring remain, a prospect which looks ever more likely, the choice at the next General Election will be Conservative or The Brexit Party for leave, Labour or LibDem for remain. The leave vote will win in the UK’s first past the post system. There will be a large majority for leave and the UK will, at long last, leave the EU on its own terms.

If, the Conservatives reject their donors calls for a coalition with The Brexit Party, then they will simply not have the funds or activists to win anything. They could easily be down to single figures at the next election and out of power for the next twenty years, if they actually survive. There is a battle raging in the Conservative Party between the Liberal/Remainers, the Leavers and the grass root membership. The splits in the party are clearly evident in the way the leadership contest is turning out. The remainers sincerely believe that the EU will renegotiate the Withdrawal Agreement, and call the legal default position of the UK, leaving with no deal on 31st October 2019, a “unicorn”. That “unicorn” is actually the democratic will of the people of UK, something the remainers have no time for.

I’m looking forward to watching the liberal remainers fight their associations for the right to “represent” their electorate. There will be many de-selections and reality will at last dawn upon those who have planned, schemed and fought to stop the democratic process. I hope they have their CV’s up to date. They will be needing them soon.

Conservative liberal remainers are vowing to vote against a Conservative Government that looks likely to leave the EU with no deal.

If the Government is brought down, there will be a General Election.

I hope every single Conservative MP who votes against the Government is deselected and thrown out of the party.

I seriously doubt they will be standing for the Conservatives in the election they have caused.

Maybe they could stand for the Lib Dems. They will certainly feel at home in that Party.

That phrase was written into the Conservative Party manifesto for the 2017 General Election. It was explained that the Conservative Government would attempt to get a deal agreed with the EU, but would leave with no deal if that was not possible.

Every single Conservative MP ran on that manifesto yet two thirds of the Conservative MP’s reject leaving the EU with no deal. They still point to the Withdrawal Agreement as generally a good deal which needs a few tweaks. This is the same “deal” that lost to the largest majority vote ever recorded in the House of Commons. That rejection makes it a de facto bad deal and “no deal is better than a bad deal”.

Why would any voter ever trust the Conservatives again?

The Conservative Government is incompetent to the extent that 35,000 high paid jobs have been lost due to their dithering. They are the “party for the economy yet their financial incompetence knows no bounds. I doubt they will have more than ten seats when the final count is recorded in the next General Election. Who in their right mind would vote for this shower?

They are absolutely petrified of a General Election. The Brexit Party will wipe the floor with them and they know it.

 

Police are investigating five complaints of electoral malpractice, including bribery, in the Peterborough by-election which labour won by just 683 votes. People were seen photographing their ballot papers which suggests they could provide proof of their vote to fulfill their end of a “contract”. Votes for cash is a distinct possibility. There were also many instances of multiple persons entering voting booths, so called “family voting” where family members are told where to put their cross. These practices are illegal and must be stopped.

Also, Tariq Mahmood, a convicted vote rigger, was involved in Labour’s winning campaign. It is time our voting system was reformed, or at the very least, outlawed practices should be stamped on hard. People need to be jailed for attempting to rig the ballot.

All this taking place in a UK City, while the “Government” crows about Russian vote rigging.

Gauke, Rudd, Hammond, Stewart, Clarke, Grieve, Mordaunt, Hunt, Hancock and now Theresa May have all threatened to block a no deal Brexit. If proof were required that Theresa May and her Government were remainers looking to block the will of the electorate, then, their statements on voting against their own Government is all the proof anyone needs.

The Conservatives were wiped out at the Local elections and absolutely crushed at the EU elections. The Brexit Party are polling at 26% for a General Election, the Conservatives are on 17%. The liberal, remain wing of the Conservative Party are not delusional. They know that if a hard Brexit takes place, the fallout in the economy will lead to awkward questions, such as, “why did Theresa May’s Government spend so little time and money on no deal preparations?”, And, “why didn’t Theresa May’s Government pursue a quick trade deal with the USA which was offered by President Trump?”.

Blame will land squarely on the shoulders of Theresa May’s Remain Government adding to Theresa’s already disastrous “legacy”. No wonder they’re fighting their own party members. They are fighting for their own political lives, not the good of the UK. To state “no deal will break the Union of the UK” is absolute rubbish. The Backstop will cede Northern Ireland to the Republic and Scotland will try for the same deal, preferring the rule of Brussels to the rule of Westminster. The current Government is a disgrace and has trashed the reputation of the UK worldwide.

If enough Tories vote against their own Government, there will be an election. That election will be won by The Brexit Party. The Brexit Party will win a majority and probably Nigel Farage will be Prime Minister.

The Conservatives have no chance of winning the next election. They are split. They do not deserve to Govern this country. They deserve to be cast to the four winds and consigned to the history books.

Rather than agree to participate in the useless TV debate on the BBC, Boris Johnson should boycott the event.

The BBC have removed the rights of the over 75’s to a free TV Licence. They pay their “stars” £millions from the money raised by the TV tax, and they allow their “public service”, “impartial” network to be used by any left wing lunatic in the land while blocking access for right wing democrats. Their relentless negative coverage of Brexit has been an embarrassment.

So why isn’t Boris telling them where to get off?

Philip Hammond has said he will not serve under Boris Johnson if Boris gets to be the next Prime Minister.

What fabulous news for the front running Leadership contender.

Philip Hammond was the chief architect of the failed strategy to keep the UK shackled to the EU in perpetuity. The UK does around £200 billion a year trade with the EU, yet rather than mitigate the effects of any loss of trade once the UK had ceased to be a member of the supra national club, Hammond supported the EU’s rules that no trade talks would take place until after “exit day” and the UK would need to pay its financial “obligations” in full, those obligations to be incorporated into an international treaty. Hammond also accepted the backstop even though the UK has never agreed to an open border between the UK and the ROI. The backstop tramples on the rights of Unionists while promoting Republicanism, concepts alien to the Good Friday Agreement.

The worst aspect of Hammond’s time as Chancellor though was his refusal to commit funds to no deal preparations. The UK Government must put the UK first in any negotiation. Free trade deals should have been sought with the USA, Australia and New Zealand to mitigate losses of trade with the EU. Any losses created by a “hard” Brexit should have been planned for and covered by the Treasury. These measures were not taken, in the hope that a crisis could develop forcing UK lawmakers to ratify the horrific Withdrawal Agreement rather than face the “chaos” of “no deal”. Pure political theatre.

Austerity measures introduced by Hammond have practically destroyed the fabric of the UK at local level but, not one penny has been cleared from the National Debt. Hardly an “achievement”.

I hope Boris wins the Leadership and I hope we then see the back of Hammond and the rest of his remainers cronies. I would really like these people to explain their lack of preparation for a no deal scenario, but I doubt they will ever face the critical scrutiny they deserve.

I really hope that Boris Johnson is serious about leaving on 31st October with or without a deal.

The Brexit Party are still ahead in the General Election polls on 26% with the Conservatives on just 17%.

If Johnson survives a vote of no confidence (I expect that he will) but doesn’t leave on 31st October 2019, all hell could break loose. With The Brexit Party riding high in the polls, it is possible that several Conservative MP’s could join up to Farage’s new party leaving the Conservatives with no chance to govern. Boris Johnson could well be forced into calling an election before 2022, and the Conservatives could find themselves out in the wilderness for the next twenty years, that is, if they actually survive as a political party.

So, it’s up to the Conservatives, do they want to remain in power? The fact is, if Theresa May had walked from the “negotiation” in 2017, and sought a quick deal with the USA, Australia and New Zealand, the UK would be out of the EU, she would be the PM and the EU would be fast tracking a free trade deal with no mention of the backstop.

The UK is a major market for German auto’s, around £50 billion a year, and the Republic of Ireland relies heavily on the UK for access to its “land bridge” and inward (and outward) investment. The border is a concern for the two signatories of the British Irish Agreement, namely the ROI and the UK. The international treaty makes no mention of an “open border”, so any talk of the UK breaking the Good Friday Agreement is pure nonsense.

The Conservative may now have a second chance, but success, which for them would be a majority at the next General Election, is far from guaranteed.

Penny Mordaunt writes…

“In truth, the reason Brexit hasn’t happened yet has nothing to do with the lack of mandate, but the lack of a majority to enact it. True, some politicians have tried to frustrate the process. On the Labour side for political gain. On the Conservative side, for purity of outcome.”

This, as she knows, is pure fantasy.

The UK does around £200 billion of trade with the EU. It was reasonable to assume that the EU would wish to continue trading with the UK as smoothly as possible after the UK’s “exit day”. Once the Government had triggered Article 50, we entered a negotiation vital to the interests of this country. The aim was simple; to protect as much trade as possible, or, replace it.

As soon as the EU made its negotiation position clear, that it would not discuss trade until after the UK had left the EU, the negotiation was over and the UK should have immediately been talking trade with the USA, Australia and New Zealand (and any others willing to trade). The USA re-negotiated NAFTA in less than two years, so a trade deal could have been completed by “exit day”, maybe enough to mitigate our losses from trade with the EU. The clock was ticking and the EU was prepared to run the clock down leaving us with nothing.

But, foolishly, the UK accepted the EU taking control of the negotiation. A second point where the UK simply had to walk away was reached in late 2017 when the backstop was taking shape. The UK did walk. They walked into a trap from which they have failed to escape ever since. The backstop has effectively stalled any chance of the UK leaving with a so called “deal”. The ONLY reason to accept the backstop was to remain tied to the EU, which is exactly what Theresa May and her Government set out to achieve. Their backers are large multi-nationals who need the minimum of a Customs Union to continue trading freely. Theresa May was often in communication with around 150 directors, yet she failed to communicate with the 5.7 million SME’s that form the backbone of the UK economy. She also failed to communicate with the DUP, without whose backing, her Government would fall. Very strange to say the least.

Penny Mordaunt claims there is no majority for no deal, yet no deal is the default position voted for by a majority of MP’s. They voted to leave on 29th march 2019. That “exit date” is now legally, the 31st October 2019 and if the UK has not left the EU by then, the Conservatives will not exist as a political force beyond 2020 or earlier if a snap election is called.

The EU have stated on numerous occasions that the Withdrawal Agreement will not be re-opened yet Penny Mordaunt puts her faith in the fact that Jeremy Hunt can change the deal so that it can gain a majority in Parliament.

Hunt is delusional, Mordaunt is in denial. And the Conservatives will cease to exist as a political party should they follow this lunatic “strategy”.

Get the UK out on 31st October 2019. Make a success of it. Win the General Election in 2020. If the Government is brought down by remainers before then, the Conservatives still have a good crack at a majority, but only if they are SERIOUS about leaving with no deal. If not, The Brexit Party will destroy their vote.

Note to Penny Mordaunt – In our first past the post system, the word “populism” should not be treated with contempt.

 

Quote from Jeremy Hunt today…

“What European leaders say is that, of course, if someone approached them with some new ideas they would look at the whole package, and of course, they are willing to do that because they don’t want a no-deal Brexit either.”

EU leaders are actually saying “we will not re-open the Withdrawal Agreement that Theresa May signed.” I think they’ve said that the same number of times that Theresa May said “no deal is better than a bad deal”.

Even I know that to begin negotiations again would lead to a further extension or extensions with no clear path to agreement. That tactic has been used to extremis by Theresa May and has cost 10,000 jobs in the automotive industry and 25,000 jobs in the steel industry.

Hunt is just a male version of the last Prime Minister and has nothing to offer this country. I’m sure if he became Prime Minister, he would revoke Article 50, because in his mind the only choices are, ratify the Withdrawal Agreement or Remain, and he know the Withdrawal Agreement will never be ratified.