The Peterborough by-election has put the Conservatives right back to where they were in 2014. UKIP were taking their vote and that prompted David Cameron to offer a referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU, as part of the Conservative’s 2015 General Election manifesto.
And here we are just a few years later with the Conservatives in EXACTLY the same position they were in back then. The referendum had to be offered to kill UKIP and this time around, the Conservatives will have to be out of the EU on 1st November 2019 to kill off The Brexit Party.
They can promise the earth, but the electorate will have no more of that.
The Conservatives need to deliver, or cease to exist as a political force in the UK.
The Brexit Party have now learned valuable lessons from Peterborough and more activists will defect from the Conservatives this year. Large donors will divert their money to Nigel Farage’s party, knowing that any money donated to the Conservatives will be wasted on a party that can only mange third place at best.
Like him or loathe him, at this moment in time, only Boris Johnson can save the party, but that is certainly not guaranteed.
Whatever happens, this is going to be a big year for the Conservatives.