Reading Philip Hammond’s article in The Daily Mail today, he asks how the two candidates propose to get us out of the EU by 31st October 2019. “While much has been said on the issue, little information has been conveyed” He states.

He then goes on “Changing prime minister does not change the Parliamentary arithmetic and I’m confident that, if pushed, Parliament will find a mechanism to prevent a premature No Deal exit happening on October 31”.Continue reading

Amendments to routine financial bills vital to continued Government funding have been tabled by Dominic Grieve and Margaret Beckett in an attempt to stop the Government leaving the EU with no deal on 31st October 2019. The idea being that unless the Government comply with the non binding amendments, funding will be stopped for vital services which could bring the country to a standstill. Not sure how that will play with the electorate, but, it will not stop a determined Prime Minister running down the clock to UK’s new “exit day”. The law is clear, that the UK leaves the EU on 31st October 2019 with or without a deal in place, and parliamentarians cannot stop that happening no matter how hard they make it for a new PM and Cabinet. We’re talking about Members of Parliament attempting to create anarchy, in order to prevent, “catastrophe” should the UK leave to trade on WTO terms. I’m sure this ploy by Grieve will help him gain the confidence of his association when they come to select a candidate to put forward at the next election.

Boris Johnson stated last night that a no deal outcome with the EU was a million to one against happening.

Many have jumped on the statement to claim that Johnson is not serious about his pledge to leave the EU with no deal on 31st October 2019, but, maybe he is so serious about leaving with no deal that he believes the EU will have to back down and sort some kind of deal out to protect the economic interests of their members.Continue reading

German automakers selling £50,000,000,000 of cars a year to their number one market, the UK, would be perfectly happy to lose up to £20,000,000,000 a year in the event of no deal. Also, what about Irish farmers? They stand to lose £BILLIONS once tariffs of up to 55% are imposed on their beef, and other agri food products. According to Liam Fox, the Trade Secretary in Theresa May’s Liberal/Remain Cabinet the EU would never contemplate an “interim deal” under Article XXIV (GATT) to save crippling tariffs on EU imports into the UK. Article XXIV?Absolute “bullshit”! cry the EU, Manufacturing companies would rather go to the wall than see a quick trade deal with the UK. Governments may fall, but who cares? The EU will show the UK who is boss.Continue reading

Here is a quote made today by Jeremy Hunt…

‘I think I am more likely to get us out of the EU by October 31st because I’m a negotiator, I’m an entrepreneur, I have got a business background and negotiation is what I did every day of the week.Continue reading

The latest YouGov survey shows more people in the UK want to leave the EU than want to remain. 28% of those surveyed are happy with a hard Brexit on 31st October 2019. Also, Dominic Raab is correct when he states that any vote in parliament to block no deal will have zero legal effect. Theresa May actually bent over backwards to comply with the wishes of parliamentarians, when, in effect their votes were non binding on the Government. The fact is that without Government support, parliamentarians cannot change the law which states the UK leaves on 31st October 2019 with or without a deal.

A YouGov survey of more than 1,600 people revealed that some 28 per cent of the electorate is in favour of a No Deal divorce from Brussels

It is very important to understand that The Withdrawal Agreement is not a trade negotiation. Member states have communicated their wishes to the EU’s negotiators and the UK has been very compliant. Too compliant in fact. The German carmakers and Irish agri food producers have a minimum requirement of a customs union and the Backstop provides that without a unilateral right of exit for the UK. Member states in the East are generally net beneficiaries and the £39 billion “divorce bill” means the cash can keep flowing to those countries. Continue reading

Leo Varadkar is not in any position to back down from his stated position on the Irish border. He is resolute that the only solution is for the UK to ratify the Withdrawal Agreement. Mr Varadkar is only governing through a confidence and supply agreement with Fianna Fáil. He is also under pressure from the EU to publish details of how he intends to protect The Single Market in the event of a no deal Brexit by the UK on 31st October 2019. The EU will expect the Irish border to be secured on the Republic’s side by 1st November at the latest and Varadkar is under no illusion that he will have to comply. Only 7% of Republic of Ireland citizens want the EU to strip the Backstop from the Withdrawal Agreement, so it would not be a wise move for any politician in the Republic to back down now.Continue reading

The UK was set to leave the EU on 29th March 2019, and, to mitigate any negative economic effects, companies in the UK had been stockpiling components in case the forecast delays at the ports became reality. Many companies had stockpiles enough to cover three months of business. BMW decided to bring forward its summer shutdown, four weeks, to run from the 1st April. The reasoning being that by mid May, some sort of solution could be found to speed up any customs delays at the borders. Peugeot also shut their Vauxhall plants down for two weeks from 1st April. Thousands of businesses had spent literally years planning for a no deal Brexit, but, Theresa May had never had any intention of leaving with no deal. Extension after extension of the UK’s membership of the EU showed that her mantra “no deal is better than a bad deal” was simply a lie to fool the electorate.Continue reading

Looking through the media websites today, I was struck that I couldn’t find a single story about Rory Stewart, one time contender in the race to be Conservative Party leader. Yet, just a week ago, he was everywhere. You couldn’t help but stumble upon a Rory Stewart story, video, or interview. Rory was obviously used by the media as a stick, to beat Boris Johnson. He is no longer useful in that capacity and so his media presence today is zero. You wonder what all the fuss was about actually.